Key takeaways
- Ripple (XRP) is testing support at $1.43 after encountering selling pressure from the $1.50 supply zone.
- Institutional ETF inflows have rebounded to $1.37B and futures open interest rose to $3.09B, highlighting cautious optimism among market participants.
Ripple (XRP) is drifting lower on Friday, testing a key support level near $1.43 after repeated rejections at the $1.50 supply zone earlier in the week. Although the US Senate Banking Committee advanced the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (Clarity Act), market momentum remains subdued and the recovery outlook appears cautious.
XRP addresses in profit tick up
The share of XRP addresses holding unrealized gains rose to about 65% on Thursday, up from 63% the day before as the token approached the $1.50 resistance. This increase points to slightly stronger risk appetite, but market participants should be prepared for potential profit-taking in a fragile technical setup.
Institutional flows into XRP spot ETFs saw a meaningful uptick, with nearly $19 million in fresh inflows on Thursday. Total ETF inflows now stand at approximately $1.37 billion, while average net assets under management increased to $1.25 billion from $1.14 billion.
Retail engagement in XRP derivatives is also expanding. Futures open interest averaged roughly $2.97 billion on Friday, up from $2.90 billion, reflecting growing conviction among traders that XRP could resume an upward trend if the technical picture improves.
Technical outlook: consolidation within the corrective phase
On the XRP/USD 4-hour chart the short-term structure appears bearish but orderly. XRP has eased about 2.5% over the past 24 hours and is currently trading around $1.43, a level that carries a neutral to mildly constructive bias.
Price sits just above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1.42, while remaining capped below the 100-day EMA at $1.49 and the 200-day EMA at $1.70. That alignment points to ongoing consolidation inside a broader corrective phase rather than a clear trend continuation.
If sellers maintain control, immediate support is likely at the 50-day EMA near $1.42, with a rising trendline around $1.39 offering a firmer floor. A daily close below $1.39 would increase the risk of deeper losses and further downside pressure.
Conversely, a stronger push from buyers would first need to overcome the 100-day EMA at $1.49. A decisive break and hold above that level could open a path toward the 200-day EMA near $1.70, where longer-term bearish pressure would be challenged.
Momentum indicators point to limited directional conviction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits around 51 and the MACD histogram is slightly positive, suggesting neither side currently has a strong edge.
Overall, XRP appears to be consolidating within a corrective phase, with buyers and sellers contesting control around key EMA levels. Traders should watch for a sustained break above the 100-day EMA or a daily close below $1.39 to signal the next directional move.