XRP is trading at $1.33 as May comes to an end, quietly slipping toward its lowest levels since March without any clear catalyst. The decline has been gradual and persistent, reflecting a slow downward drift that has characterized the altcoin’s performance through the second half of the month.
The nearest support band around $1.20 is now within reach after the 100-day moving average was lost again. The XRP/BTC pair is also testing recent lows and appears increasingly fragile.
Ripple Price Analysis: The USDT Pair
Against USDT, XRP sits just below the upper boundary of a descending channel. The 100-day moving average, near $1.40, now acts as overhead resistance after being surrendered during May’s rollover, while the 200-day moving average continues descending around $1.60.
The RSI hovers near 40, a soft reading that shows no clear sign of a base forming.
The $1.20 demand zone is close by, making the next few daily closes especially important. A breakdown below $1.20 would be the first confirmed breach of that level since the February wick and could trigger a deeper decline toward the $0.60 area. Conversely, any meaningful recovery would first need to reclaim $1.40 and the 100-day moving average to suggest a sustainable rebound is forming.
The BTC Pair
The XRP/BTC pair trades around 1,760 sats and is pressing a horizontal support level near 1,730 sats, which marks the recent low.
Attempts to sustain a modest recovery above 1,800 sats have struggled. Throughout May the RSI oscillated between 30 and 60 with no sustained directional move, indicating a pair in exhausted equilibrium rather than showing clear momentum.
Recovery targets on the upside include the 100-day moving average at roughly 1,900 sats and the 200-day moving average near 2,050 sats, both positioned around the important 2,000 sats supply zone.
On the downside, the lower channel boundary and a demand area near 1,500 sats become the next likely targets if the recent low gives way. Given current conditions, XRP is expected to continue underperforming BTC as market sentiment toward Ripple remains muted.