Popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez has reiterated his recent prediction that the well-known cross-border token may be on the verge of a significant breakout.
XRP has shown limited movement over the past few weeks. Even on the monthly timeframe, price action has been relatively muted aside from a couple of rejections near $1.60.
XRP Breakout Impending?
Martinez first issued this forecast on April 27, noting that Ripple’s native asset had been range-bound for an extended period. He highlighted the importance of clearing the $1.41–$1.43 resistance zone as a first step toward challenging fresh local highs. Conversely, a drop below the lower boundary of that range could lead to near-term weakness.
In his latest update, Martinez examined the daily timeframe and observed that XRP is “currently consolidating within a well-defined symmetrical triangle.”
“As the price moves closer to the apex, market energy is coiling, signaling that a significant shift in volatility is approaching,” he added.
Using the pattern’s measured move, he projected a decisive breakout that could produce roughly a 26% price change. The key question is direction. From the current level of roughly $1.39 — slightly beneath the $1.41 major support — a bearish break could push XRP toward multi-year lows near $1.00. On the upside, a bullish breakout could send the token toward resistance around $1.82.
“Ideally, you want to wait for a confirmed daily close outside of this range. A close above $1.45 targets the $1.82 level, while a close below $1.35 targets $1,” Martinez explained.
He also pointed out that ETF inflows remained steady in April, contributing to a relatively positive month for XRP’s price — the first such month since September 2025 — though retail participation has largely stayed on the sidelines, awaiting a clear catalyst.
Indecisive Close
Another analyst, CRYPTOWZRD, commented on XRP’s short-term outlook by focusing on the most recent daily close, describing it as “indecisive.” According to their view, XRP needs to hold above $1.393, a level currently under test. A decisive break below that level could open the door to further downside and potentially validate Martinez’s bearish target near $1.00.
XRP Daily Technical Outlook: $XRP closed indecisively. It needs to hold above the $1.3930 resistance for a while to expect a long. A move below will see continuous weakness and sideways movement depending on Bitcoin’s price action 😈
— CRYPTOWZRD (@cryptoWZRD_)