Ethereum Golden Cross Detected: Could a Major Rally Be Starting?

Although it has not posted gains as dramatic as some other altcoins, Ethereum (ETH) has moved higher amid the broader market recovery.

Many analysts now believe the asset could be preparing for a larger advance, and several indicators support a bullish outlook.

What’s Next After the Golden Cross?

ETH reclaimed the $2,400 level earlier today after several unsuccessful attempts in recent weeks, and it is currently trading around that area. The primary catalyst for this move appears to be the wider market rally, energized by fresh developments in the Middle East and other macro factors.

On May 6, multiple reports indicated that the US and Iran are close to reaching a deal that could lead to reopening the Strait of Hormuz. That news boosted risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, and coincided with a drop in global oil prices.

Popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez highlighted the emergence of a so-called golden cross on Ethereum’s chart, a pattern that formed in late April. A golden cross occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average and is generally viewed as a bullish signal. Martinez suggested this setup could pave the way for a rally toward roughly $2,680, representing about a 12% rise from current levels.

Another trader, Max Crypto, also identified $2,680 as a key level for a different reason: an unfilled CME futures gap sits near that zone. CME gaps form when futures markets close for the weekend and reopen at a different price; historically, such gaps tend to be filled over time, making them points of interest for traders.

Separately, analyst Ted predicted that a decisive breakout above $2,400 could propel Ethereum toward the $2,500–$2,600 range.

Is ETH Not Done Yet?

Institutional demand for Ethereum appears to be strengthening, which could support further price appreciation. Data from SoSoValue shows that inflows into spot ETH exchange-traded funds outpaced outflows in the first days of May, indicating that pension funds, hedge funds, and other large investors increased their exposure. This trend is bullish because ETF issuers must acquire actual ETH to back shares sold to investors.

Spot ETH ETFs, Source: SoSoValue

Additionally, Ethereum’s exchange reserves have fallen to a new ten-year low of roughly 14.3 million coins. Declining reserves suggest that investors are withdrawing funds from centralized exchanges and moving to self-custody, which can lower immediate selling pressure and support price stability.

ETH Exchange Reserves, Source: CryptoQuant

Taken together — the golden cross, CME gap considerations, rising ETF inflows, and shrinking exchange balances — these signals hint that Ethereum may have further upside potential. However, as always, market conditions can shift quickly, and investors should weigh risks and perform their own research before making decisions.