- The SuperTrend indicator suggests a possible bullish breakout for Cardano (ADA).
- However, momentum may fail to follow through, which would invalidate the buy signal.
- ADA could target levels above $0.40 next, while $0.25 remains an important support level.
Cardano’s price has retreated again as a wider crypto market pullback limits the recent bounce. ADA is down around 3% on the day and trading near the $0.26 support area, tracking a similar pullback in Bitcoin.
Bitcoin itself climbed toward roughly $83,000 earlier in the rally but has pared gains and is trading closer to $79,800 amid lingering macroeconomic pressure. Cardano’s price action has largely followed Bitcoin’s movements over the same period.
Still, the question remains: could renewed buying interest spark another meaningful uptrend for ADA?
Cardano price: daily chart flashes buy signal
On the whole, the crypto market shows signs of weakness and Cardano’s outlook has elements of bearish risk. At the same time, a prominent trend indicator on the daily chart has recently turned positive: the SuperTrend has flipped green.
Prices had been declining since the indicator moved red in early February, with longer-term weakness tracing back to a fall below $1 in September 2025. The prolonged red SuperTrend period coincided with an extended drawdown that saw ADA lose roughly 70% of value.
When the SuperTrend previously turned green, Cardano experienced a sharp rally, pushing the price above $0.43 earlier in the year.
Analysts note that despite struggles below $0.30, the recent correction and extended consolidation could set the stage for a trend reversal. If bulls regain control, initial resistance to watch is around $0.33, followed by year-to-date highs above $0.40. A decisive breakout could open the way toward the $0.75–$1.00 range.
Contributing to the bullish case is notable accumulation by larger holders during dips. On-chain data indicates wallets holding at least 1 million ADA have increased their holdings, representing roughly 67% of the token supply. That metric sits above 25.09 billion ADA, suggesting that accumulation continued even as market capitalization fell more than 70% over the past nine months.
Cardano price – short-term bearish outlook
Despite the SuperTrend’s positive turn, caution is warranted: momentum might not sustain, and the buy signal could prove false. Key momentum indicators lend weight to a more cautious short-term view.
The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) is drifting near the neutral 50 level, signaling limited buying pressure, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing signs that a bearish crossover could be forming. These indicators imply that upside follow-through is not guaranteed.
If sellers reassert control, ADA may first test the $0.25 support zone. A break below $0.25 could accelerate losses toward about $0.23, which lines up with the lower boundary of a multi-month channel and represents a potential demand reload area for buyers.
Broader market forces—including macroeconomic data, interest rate expectations and geopolitical developments—will also play a significant role in Cardano’s next directional move. Traders should weigh both the bullish SuperTrend signal and the divergent momentum indicators when assessing risk and setting position levels.