The recent market turmoil that pushed Bitcoin (BTC) below $60,000 has hit Cardano’s native token even harder. ADA briefly fell under $0.15 and is currently trading around $0.16, reflecting roughly a 40% decline over the past month.
Concerns intensified after Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson announced he was “taking a break” and warned of a potential “wave of failures in the ecosystem.” His comments stirred additional anxiety in the community and led some investors to brace for further downside. The most extreme scenario—ADA collapsing to $0—prompted an inquiry to three widely used AI-powered chatbots about whether such an outcome is realistic.
Extremely Unlikely
Perplexity assessed the odds of ADA dropping to $0 as very slim, arguing that a far more plausible outcome is a steep drawdown rather than a total wipeout. The model explained that a complete collapse to zero would require a near-total failure of liquidity, widespread delistings, and market confidence eroding almost entirely—conditions that are exceptionally rare for a major crypto asset.
“Cardano remains a large, widely tracked asset with ongoing ecosystem development and active market coverage, which makes a complete wipeout very improbable,” the model noted.
ChatGPT reached a similar conclusion, stating that a fall to zero would necessitate a catastrophic protocol failure or exploit, mass delistings by major exchanges, and a total abandonment by holders, developers, and validators. The model put the likelihood of such an outcome at under 1% and suggested a roughly 45% chance that ADA will trade between $0.10 and $0.20 during the remainder of 2025.
Virtually Impossible
Google’s Gemini characterized the possibility of ADA reaching $0 this year as effectively nonexistent. While acknowledging the token’s recent sharp decline, Gemini emphasized the difference between suffering heavy losses in a bear market and literally losing all value. It argued that for a top-20 cryptocurrency to hit zero, the project would need to vanish overnight—an implausible scenario given Cardano’s ongoing activity.
“For an established, top-20 cryptocurrency to hit $0, the project would essentially have to cease to exist overnight. Cardano has a network of millions of active users and strong trading volume across exchanges worldwide. Short of that impossible scenario, its massive decentralized community and active staking create an indestructible floor,” Gemini said.
In summary, all three AI models agree that while ADA faces significant downside risk amid recent market turbulence and community unease, a drop to absolute zero is extraordinarily unlikely. The more realistic risks involve continued volatility, deeper drawdowns, or temporary liquidity stress—outcomes that could substantially lower prices but stop well short of total annihilation.